18. Lurch 3 Angular—add 3-D conical diffuse cloud

The model and its justification
    Lurch 3 Angular calculates the speed of the rearward lurch of the upper body from the bullet, the body, the cloud, the large fragments, and conical 3-D motion of the diffuse cloud. As with the linear analogs, the three-dimensionality of the cone decreases the intensity of the lurch by about half, from the 2.94 ft s-1 of Lurch 2 Angular to 1.44 ft s-1 here. This shows how important the three-dimensionality of the cloud is to the final solution.

Solving the simultaneous equations

   

Conservation of angular X-momentum

 

Conservation of total energy

Default values of variables

mbullet = 161 gr

vbullet = 1800 ft s-1

mfrag1 = 0.027 gr

mbody = 85 lb

vbulletafter = 200 ft s-1

mfrags23 = 0.01 gr

mcloud = 0.3 lb

Qfrag1 = 40°

vfrag1 = 500 ft s-1

Q = 12°

Qfrags23 = 70°

vfrags23 = 500 ft s-1

PE = 300 ft-lb

Qcl = 70°

fI = 1.11

Solutions to simultaneous equations

vbodyafter = -1.44 ft s-1  vcloud = 388 ft s-1

Distributions of momentum and energy

Angular momentum

Energy, ft-lb

Before

After

Before

After

Ωbullet = 3.80

Ωbulletafter = 0.43

KEbullet = 1164

KEbulletafter = 14

 

Ωbodyafter = -4.22

 

KEbodyafter = 1

 

Ωcloud = 6.45

 

KEcloud = 704

 

Ωfrag1 = 0.97

 

KEfrag1 = 105

 

Ωfrags23 = 0.16

 

KEfrags23 = 39

 

 

 

PE = 300

Sensitivity analysis
    

Sensitivity analysis, Lurch 3 Angular
(Standard conditions in boldface)

mbullet

vlurch

mbody

vlurch

mcloud

vlurch

PE

vlurch

vbullet

vlurch

 

 

 

 

 

 

0

-1.861

 

 

156

-1.414

 

 

 

 

50

-1.795

1750

-1.369

157

-1.419

65

-1.878

 

 

100

-1.727

1760

-1.383

158

-1.423

70

-1.744

 

 

150

-1.657

1770

-1.396

159

-1.427

75

-1.627

0.1

-0.507

200

-1.586

1780

-1.409

160

-1.431

80

-1.525

0.2

-1.032

250

-1.512

1790

-1.422

161

-1.435

85

-1.435

0.3

-1.435

300

-1.435

1800

-1.435

162

-1.439

90

-1.355

0.4

-1.776

350

-1.356

1810

-1.448

163

-1.443

95

-1.284

0.5

-2.077

400

-1.274

1820

-1.461

164

-1.447

100

-1.219

0.6

-2.350

450

-1.188

1830

-1.474

165

-1.451

105

-1.161

0.7

-2.601

500

-1.098

1840

-1.486

166

-1.455

 

 

0.8

-2.835

550

-1.004

1850

-1.499

 

 

 

 

 

 

600

-0.904

 

 

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.439 + 1.431)/2]/
[1.435/161] = -0.45

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.355 + 1.525)/10]/
[1.435/85] = 1.01

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.776 + 1.032)/0.2]/
[1.435/0.3] = -0.78

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.356 + 1.512)/100]/
[1.435/300] = 0.33

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.448 + 1.422)/20]/
[1.435/1800] = -1.63

Range = 0.04

Range = 0.72

Range = 2.33

Range = 0.96

Range = 0.13

vbulletafter

vlurch

Q

vlurch

Qcl

vlurch

mfrag1

vlurch

mfrags23

vlurch

 

 

7

-1.416

20

-2.796

0.022

-1.404

0.005

-1.438

0

-1.311

8

-1.419

30

-2.619

0.023

-1.411

0.006

-1.438

50

-1.346

9

-1.423

40

-2.382

0.024

-1.417

0.007

-1.437

100

-1.379

10

-1.426

50

-2.097

0.025

-1.423

0.008

-1.436

150

-1.408

11

-1.431

60

-1.777

0.026

-1.429

0.009

-1.436

200

-1.435

12

-1.435

70

-1.435

0.027

-1.435

0.010

-1.435

250

-1.459

13

-1.440

80

-1.086

0.028

-1.441

0.011

-1.435

300

-1.480

14

-1.446

90

-0.744

0.029

-1.447

0.012

-1.434

350

-1.498

15

-1.451

100

-0.422

0.030

-1.454

0.013

-1.433

400

-1.514

16

-1.457

110

-0.129

0.031

-1.460

0.015

-1.433

 

 

17

-1.464

120

+0.126

0.032

-1.466

0.015

-1.432

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.459 + 1.408)/100]/
[1.435/200] = -0.07

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.446 + 1.426)/4]/
[1.435/12] = -0.04

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.086 + 1.777)/20]/
[1.435/70] = 1.68

Sensitivity = 
[-1.441 + 1.429)/0.002]/
[1.435/0.027] = -0.11

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.432 + 1.438)/0.010]/
[1.435/0.010] = 0.00

Range = 0.20

Range = 0.05

Range = 2.92

Range = 0.06

Range = 0.01

vfrag1

vlurch

vfrags23

vlurch

Qfrag1

vlurch

Qfrags23

vlurch

fI

vlurch

250

-1.390

250

-1.453

 

 

 

 

1.06

-1.503

300

-1.406

300

-1.452

20

-1.510

50

-1.483

1.07

-1.48

350

-1.419

350

-1.450

25

-1.496

55

-1.472

1.08

-1.475

400

-1.428

400

-1.446

30

-1.478

60

-1.460

1.09

-1.462

450

-1.433

450

-1.441

35

-1.458

65

-1.448

1.10

-1.448

500

-1.435

500

-1.435

40

-1.435

70

-1.435

1.11

-1.435

550

-1.433

550

-1.428

45

-1.410

75

-1.422

1.12

-1.422

600

-1.428

600

-1.419

50

-1.382

80

-1.408

1.13

-1.410

650

-1.418

650

-1.409

55

-1.352

85

-1.395

1.14

-1.397

700

-1.403

700

-1.398

60

-1.321

90

-1.381

1.15

-1.385

700

-1.384

750

-1.385

 

 

 

 

1.16

-1.373

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.428 + 1.428)/200]/
[1.435/500] = 0.00

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.428 + 1.441)/100]/
[1.435/500] = 0.04

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.410 + 1.458)/10]/
[1.435/40] = 0.13

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.422 + 1.448)/10]/
[1.435/70] = 0.13

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.422 + 1.448)/0.02]/
[1.435/1.11] = 1.01

Range = 0.01

Range = 0.07

Range = 0.19

Range = 0.10

Range = 0.13

Ordered summary of sensitivities

Variable Sensitivity of vlurch Range of vlurch, ft s-1 Magnitude
Positive effect on lurch (reduces rearward velocity)
mfrags23 0.00 0.01 Small
vfrag1 0.00 0.01 Small
vfrags23 0.04 0.07 Small
Qfrags23 0.13 0.10 Small
fI 1.01 0.13 Small
Qfrag1  0.13 0.19 Small
mbody 1.01 0.72 Medium
PE 0.33 0.96 Medium
Qcl  1.68 2.92 Large
Negative effect on lurch (increases rearward velocity)
mbullet -0.45 0.04 Small
Q  -0.04 0.05 Small
mfrag1 -0.11 0.06 Small
vbullet -1.63 0.13 Small
vbulletafter -0.07 0.20 Small
mcloud -0.78 2.33 Large

    This ordering of sensitivities and effects is virtually identical to that of Lurch 3 Linear, except with greater effects. It is also very similar to the previous one, except for the new large effect for Qcl. The other large effect, for mcloud, has also been seen before. That both these large effects belong to properties of the diffuse cloud is an important feature of all subsequent simulations. 

Summary
    Making the diffuse cloud into a conical shape reduces the strength of the rearward lurch by a factor of two (2.9 ft s-1 to 1.4 ft s-1) and makes the half-angle of the cone one of the two most-sensitive variables, the mass of the cloud being the other one. This both brings the calculated lurch nearly into line with the observed lurch and emphasizes the all-importance of the properties of the cloud. Unfortunately for this work, the properties of the cloud are very difficult to estimate, and probably form the limiting factor for the accuracy of this series of simulations.

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