18. Lurch 3 Angular—add 3-D conical diffuse cloud

The model and its justification
    Lurch 3 Angular is the rotational analog of Lurch 3 Linear. It is the procedure for calculating the speed of the rearward lurch of the upper body from the bullet, the body, cloud, the large fragments, and conical 3-D motion of the diffuse cloud. Actually, "half-conical" would be a better way to describe the shape of the could, since it is assumed to be conical in the XY plane but only half-conical (upward). Material of the cloud is assumed to be distributed evenly over the half-angle Qcl. The two conservation equations remain the same because Qcl is used to calculate the X-component of the velocity of the particles in the cloud, fxcl, and the X-component of the kinetic energy of the cloud, fkecl, and those terms are used in the equations. The two formulas are given in the next section.
    The conical motion of the diffuse cloud greatly reduces the calculated strength of the rearward lurch, from the previous 3.29 ft s-1 to 1.30 ft s-1. This reduction by a factor of nearly three is very similar to the factor observed from Lurch 2 Linear to Lurch 3 Linear, 2.44 ft s-1 to 0.88 ft s-1

Solving the simultaneous equations
    

 

 

Conservation of angular X-momentum

 

Conservation of total energy

 

Default values of variables

mbullet = 161 gr

vbullet = 1800 ft s-1

mfrag1 = 0.027 gr

mbody = 85 lb

vbulletafter = 200 ft s-1

mfrags23 = 0.01 gr

mcloud = 0.3 lb

Qfrag1 = 40°

vfrag1 = 300 ft s-1

Q = 17°

Qfrags23 = 70°

vfrags23 = 300 ft s-1

PE = 200 ft-lb

Qcl = 45°

fI = 1.11

Solutions to simultaneous equations

vbodyafter = -1.30 ft s-1  vcloud = 282 ft s-1

Distributions of momentum and energy

Angular momentum

Energy, ft-lb

Before

After

Before

After

Ωbullet = 3.71

Ωbulletafter = 0.43

KEbullet = 1164

KEbulletafter = 14

 

Ωbodyafter = -3.82

 

KEbodyafter = 0.8

 

Ωcloud = 6.42

 

KEcloud = 897

 

Ωfrag1 = 0.58

 

KEfrag1 = 38

 

Ωfrags23 = 0.10

 

KEfrags23 = 14

 

 

 

PE = 200

    

Sensitivity analysis
    

Sensitivity analysis, Lurch 3 Angular
(Standard conditions in boldface)

mbullet

vlurch

mbody

vlurch

mcloud

vlurch

PE

vlurch

vbullet

vlurch

156

-1.290

 

 

 

 

 

 

1750

-1.256

157

-1.292

65

-1.701

 

 

0

-1.531

1760

-1.264

158

-1.294

70

-1.579

 

 

50

-1.475

1770

-1.273

159

-1.296

75

-1.473

0.1

-0.375

100

-1.418

1780

-1.282

160

-1.298

80

-1.381

0.2

-0.898

150

-1.359

1790

-1.291

161

-1.300

85

-1.300

0.3

-1.300

200

-1.300

1800

-1.300

162

-1.301

90

-1.227

0.4

-1.639

250

-1.238

1810

-1.308

163

-1.303

95

-1.162

0.5

-1.939

300

-1.174

1820

-1.317

164

-1.305

100

-1.104

0.6

-2.210

350

-1.109

1830

-1.326

165

-1.306

105

-1.051

0.7

-2.460

400

-1.041

1840

-1.334

166

-1.308

 

 

0.8

-2.694

 

 

1850

-1.343

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.303 + 1.296)/4]/
[1.300/161] = -0.22

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.227 + 1.381)/10]/
[1.300/85] = 1.01

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.639 + 0.898)/0.2]/
[1.300/0.3] = -0.86

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.238 + 1.359)/100]/
[1.300/200] = 0.186

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.317 + 1.282)/40]/
[1.300/1800] = -1.21

Range = 0.018

Range = 0.65

Range = 2.32

Range = 0.49

Range = 0.087

vbulletafter

vlurch

Q

vlurch

mfrag1

vlurch

mfrags23

vlurch

vfrag1

vlurch

 

 

12

-1.271

0.022

-1.271

0.005

-1.292

 

 

0

-1.170

13

-1.276

0.023

-1.277

0.006

-1.293

100

-1.208

50

-1.206

14

-1.281

0.024

-1.283

0.007

-1.295

150

-1.235

100

-1.239

15

-1.287

0.025

-1.288

0.008

-1.296

200

-1.259

150

-1.270

16

-1.293

0.026

-1.294

0.009

-1.298

250

-1.281

200

-1.300

17

-1.300

0.027

-1.300

0.010

-1.300

300

-1.300

250

-1.326

18

-1.306

0.028

-1.305

0.011

-1.301

350

-1.316

300

-1.351

19

-1.314

0.029

-1.311

0.012

-1.303

400

-1.329

350

-1.373

20

-1.321

0.030

-1.316

0.013

-1.304

450

-1.340

400

-1.393

21

-1.329

0.031

-1.322

0.015

-1.306

500

-1.348

 

 

22

-1.338

0.032

-1.328

0.015

-1.307

 

 

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.326 + 1.270)/100]/
[1.300/200] = -0.086

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.314 + 1.287)/4]/
[1.300/17] = -0.088

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.311 + 1.288)/0.004]/
[1.300/0.027] = -0.119

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.303 + 1.296)/0.004]/
[1.300/0.01] = -0.0135

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.316 + 1.281)/100]/
[1.300/300] = -0.081

Range = 0.22

Range = 0.067

Range = 0.057

Range = 0.015

Range = 0.14

 

vfrags23

vlurch

Qfrag1

vlurch

Qfrags23

vlurch

Qcl

vlurch

fI

vlurch

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.06

-1.361

100

-1.293

20

-1.344

50

-1.328

25

-2.005

1.07

-1.348

150

-1.296

25

-1.336

55

-1.322

30

-1.814

1.08

-1.336

200

-1.298

30

-1.325

60

-1.315

35

-1.634

1.09

-1.323

250

-1.299

35

-1.313

65

-1.307

40

-1.463

1.10

-1.311

300

-1.300

40

-1.300

70

-1.300

45

-1.300

1.11

-1.300

350

-1.299

45

-1.284

75

-1.292

50

-1.143

1.12

-1.288

400

-1.297

50

-1.268

80

-1.283

55

-0.993

1.13

-1.277

450

-1.294

55

-1.250

85

-1.275

60

-0.848

1.14

-1.265

500

-1.291

60

-1.231

90

-1.267

65

-0.709

1.15

-1.254

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1.16

-1.244

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.29 + 1.30)/200]/
[1.300/300] = 0.0115

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.268 + 1.325)/20]/
[1.300/40] = 0.088

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.283 + 1.315)/20]/
[1.300/70] = 0.086

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.143 + 1.463)/10]/
[1.300/45] = 1.11

Sensitivity = 
[(-1.244 + 1.361)/0.10]/
[1.300/1.11] = 0.99

Range = 0.009

Range = 0.113

Range = 0.061

Range = 1.30

Range = 0.12

 

Ordered summary of sensitivities

Variable Sensitivity of vlurch Range of vlurch, ft s-1 Magnitude
Positive effect on lurch (reduces rearward velocity)
vfrags23 0.012 0.01 Small
Qfrags23 0.086 0.06 Small
Qfrag1  0.088 0.11 Small
fI 0.99 0.12 Small
PE 0.19 0.49 Small
mbody 1.01 0.65 Small
Qcl  1.11 1.30 Large
Negative effect on lurch (increases rearward velocity)
mfrags23 -0.014 0.02 Small
mbullet -0.22 0.02 Small
mfrag1 -0.119 0.06 Small
Q  -0.088 0.07 Small
vbullet -1.21 0.09 Small
vfrag1 -0.081 0.14 Small
vbulletafter -0.086 0.22 Small
mcloud -0.82 2.32 Large

    This ordering of sensitivities and effects is very similar to the previous one, except for the new large effect for Qcl. The other large effect, for mcloud, was also seen before. That both these large effects belong to properties of the diffuse cloud is an important feature of all subsequent simulations. 

Summary
    Making the diffuse cloud into a conical shape reduces the strength of the rearward lurch by a factor of nearly three (3.3 ft s-1 to 1.3 ft s-1) and makes the half-angle of the cone into one of the two most-sensitive variables, the mass of the could being the other one. This both brings the lurch nearly into line with the observed velocity and emphasizes the all-importance of the properties of the cloud. Unfortunately for this work, the properties of the cloud are very difficult to estimate, and probably form the limiting factor for the accuracy of this series of simulations.

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