7. The forward snapangular calculations

    Because JFK's head rotated about the top of his neck after it was hit, it would seem more appropriate to use angular calculations to calculate the forward speed of the snap. The equation is as follows:

 

where mbullet, mhead, vbullet, Q, and vbulletafter are the same as before, Rhead is the radius of the head, and Rbullet is the lever arm of the bullet about the point of rotation, here assumed to be the top of the neck. Starting values for the variables are mbullet = 161 grains, vbullet = 1800 ft s-1, mhead = 7 lb, vbulletafter = 200 ft s-1, Q = 17° (these five the same as for the linear calculations), Rbullet = 5.75 in, and Rhead = 4.5 in. The base answer determined with these values is 4.562 ft s-1 for the snap, which is 10% less than from the linear calculations. This value is still consistent with the average speed of 3.3 ft s-1 determined from the Zapruder film, however, for the same three reasons discussed for the linear calculations.

Sensitivity analysis
    The sensitivity analysis is run the same was as for the linear case. As before, the standard values are shown in boldface. Also as before, the sensitivities fall into two discrete groups, low values around -0.1 (vbulletafter and Q) and high values of around 1 (mbullet, vbullet, mhead, Rbullet, and Rhead). Again, the most sensitive variable (with the greatest range of effects on the snap), is mhead. This time, however, the second most sensitive variable is Rhead, with a range of effects of 2.1 ft s-1 (as opposed to 2.8 for mhead). It is significant that the two most sensitive variables are properties of the head.
    Thus the angular calculations give results very similar to the linear calculations.

Sensitivity analysis, Snap 1 angular

mbullet

vsnap

vbullet

vsnap

vbulletafter

vsnap

mhead

vsnap

Rbullet

vsnap

156

4.421

1750

4.419

 

 

 

 

 

 

157

4.449

1760

4.448

0

5.162

5

6.387

4.75

3.769

158

4.477

1770

4.476

50

5.012

5.5

5.807

5

3.967

159

4.506

1780

4.505

100

4.862

6

5.323

5.25

4.166

160

4.534

1790

4.534

150

4.712

6.5

4.913

5.5

4.364

161

4.562

1800

4.562

200

4.562

7

4.562

5.75

4.562

162

4.591

1810

4.591

250

4.412

7.5

4.258

6

4.761

163

4.619

1820

4.62

300

4.262

8

3.992

6.25

4.959

164

4.647

1830

4.648

350

4.112

8.5

3.757

6.5

5.157

165

4.676

1840

4.677

400

3.963

9

3.548

6.75

5.356

166

4.704

1850

4.706

 

 

 

 

 

 

Sensitivity = 
[(4.591-4.534)/2]/
[4.562/161] = 1.01

Sensitivity = 
[(4.591-4.534)/20]/
[4.562/1800] = 1.12

Sensitivity = 
[(4.412-4.712)/100]/
[4.562/200] = -0.13

Sensitivity = 
[(4.258-4.913)/1]/
[4.562/7] = -1.01

Sensitivity = 
[(4.761-4.364)/0.5]/
[4.562/5.75] = 1.00

Range = 0.28

Range = 0.29

Range = 1.12

Range = 2.84

Range = 1.59

Rhead

vsnap

Q 

vsnap

 

 

 

12

4.68

 

3.5

5.866

13

4.66

 

3.75

5.475

14

4.638

 

4

5.133

15

4.614

 

4.25

4.831

16

4.589

 

4.5

4.562

17

4.562

 

4.75

4.322

18

4.534

 

5

4.106

19

4.504

 

5.25

3.911

20

4.473

 

5.5

3.733

21

4.44

 

 

 

22

4.405

 

Sensitivity = 
[(4.322-4.831)/0.5]/
[4.562/4.5] = -1.00

Sensitivity = 
[(4.534-4.589)/2]/
[4.562/17] = -0.102

Range = 2.13

Range = 0.28

 

Ordered summary of sensitivities

Variable Sensitivity of vsnap Range of vsnap, ft s-1 Magnitude
Positive effect on snap
vbullet 1.12 0.29 Small
mbullet 1.01 0.28 Small
Rbullet 1.00 1.59 Large
Negative effect on snap
Q  -0.10 0.28 Small
vbulletafter -0.13 1.12 Medium
Rhead -1.00 2.13 Large
mhead -1.01 2.84 Large

    The sensitivities and ranges of effect for the five variables used previously for the linear calculation are nearly the same here. The new rotational variables, Rbullet and Rhead, have large effects, with Rbullet being positive and Rhead negative. The difference in sign is easy to understand. Since Rbullet represents the lever arm of the impacting bullet, greater values will make the head easier to rotate (positive effect). Since Rhead is related to the moment of inertia of the head, greater values will make the head harder to rotate (negative effect).
    The two most important variables here (as defined by range of snap) are the mass and radius of the head (in that order). Just behind that come the lever arm of the bullet and the exit speed of the bullet. Relative to these variables, the mass, velocity, and angle of inclination of the bullet are much less important.

Is the snap quantitatively consistent with a shot from Oswald's rifle?
    We close this section on the snap by returning to the question that prompted it. The answer is a clear yes, that the calculated speed of the snap (4.5–5.0 ft s-1) is completely consistent with the observed average speed of >3.3 ft s-1. This very important result allows us to progress to the next question, whether the initial rearward lurch of JFK's head and body are consistent with the same shot.

Ahead to Plausibility Arguments for Lurch
Back to Snap Linear

Back to Physics of the Head Shot